Can weather fronts be accurately predicted by computers? This paper examines the challenges and solutions developed by the Aviation Weather Center (AWC) in their effort to objectively forecast the locations of significant weather fronts. Describing the implementation of Hewson’s technique, which uses a variation on the Renard & Clarke frontal locator function, the authors detail the numerous obstacles encountered and the innovative approaches used to overcome them. The study highlights the AWC’s success in resolving these problems, ultimately leading to the realization of objective frontal analyses and forecasts. As a result, forecaster productivity has been significantly increased, allowing for more efficient and reliable weather predictions. This research demonstrates the practical application of objective techniques in weather forecasting, offering valuable insights for improving forecast accuracy and streamlining operational processes. The AWC’s experience serves as a model for other weather centers seeking to enhance their forecasting capabilities, which will benefit aviation users and contribute to safer air travel.
Published in Meteorological Applications, this paper directly aligns with the journal’s focus on practical applications of meteorology. By presenting the AWC's experience in objectively forecasting weather fronts, the study demonstrates how meteorological research can be translated into real-world improvements in forecasting accuracy and efficiency, a core theme of the journal.